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Specializing in servicing residential buyers and sellers in the San Francisco South Bay area, Palo Alto, Sunnyvale, Cupertino, Mountain View, Los Altos, Santa Clara, Menlo Park, San Carlos, Campbell, Milpitas, San Jose, and real estate investors nationwide

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This article was published on: 11/13/2009

Silicon Valley housing: foreclosure sales up, affordability down

By Pete Carey
The Mercury News

Silicon Valley received two housing report cards Thursday that reflect the stresses and strains of a home market still struggling to right itself.

Foreclosure sales in Santa Clara County, reported by the Discovery Bay real estate analysis company ForeclosureRadar, rose 15 percent from September.

At the same time, more people entered a limbo of waiting for either a loan modification, a short sale, in which a homeowner sells a home for less than is owed on it, or foreclosure. That number has been growing since February, as banks delay foreclosing and try to modify loans.

There are now 4,603 Santa Clara County homeowners who have received notices from their banks that they are either in default or facing a sale. That's up from 1,728 at the beginning of the year. There were 479 homes sold through foreclosure in October.

On the other side of the coin, first-time home buyers here faced one of the least affordable markets in the state in the third quarter of this year.

Rising prices put homes out of reach of almost half of Santa Clara County's potential first-time buyers during the third quarter of 2009, according to a report from the California Association of Realtors.

The Realtors group pegged the valley's "affordability index" for single-family homes at 53 percent, five percentage points lower than the previous quarter. The third-quarter data means that only 53 percent of the valley's potential first-time buyers could afford a home. That compares with 64 percent statewide.

The drop in affordability "means your prices are going up," said Steve Goddard, president-elect of the association. But statewide, affordability has increased, he noted, partly as a function of lower interest rates.

It's still a marked improvement from a year ago, when only 41 percent of would-be first-time buyers could afford a home in the valley.

In the third quarter of this year, the Realtors group said, the valley's first-time

buyers faced a median entry-level price of $481,100 for a single-family home, with an estimated monthly payment of $2,820 and a requisite annual income of $84,600.

The median price statewide is $247,150, the association said, with a minimum requisite income of $43,500 — a 19 percent drop from the annual income needed to buy a home last year.

Meanwhile, the number of foreclosures in the valley and California are "bobbling around" from month to month, according to Sean O'Toole of ForeclosureRadar, while the number in "foreclosure limbo" increases.

Actual foreclosures, in which homes are either sold to third parties or taken back by banks, were up in October from the previous month, but sharply down from October 2008. But there doesn't seem to be a clear trend in foreclosures at this point, O'Toole said, despite the monthly jump.

The Obama administration's foreclosure prevention programs, which offer incentives to banks to modify loans, reported Tuesday that 134,609 mortgages have been modified in California since the program began in March — the highest number for any state. Yet the banks don't seem to be canceling many foreclosure sales, O'Toole said.

"I expected to see some results in canceling foreclosures, but we have yet to see it," O'Toole said.

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